Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.433042 0.512526 0.601130 0.707029 0.829953 0.967935 1.134345
2024-12-29 0.320636 0.424790 0.553133 0.722072 0.937667 1.202577 1.551613
2025-01-05 0.256774 0.370477 0.521518 0.735064 1.027109 1.410106 1.947531
2025-01-12 0.208005 0.322632 0.484847 0.728270 1.080723 1.568185 2.287954
2025-01-19 0.173699 0.287235 0.457101 0.725594 1.133991 1.725147 2.636679
2025-01-26 0.154542 0.270430 0.452503 0.753622 1.231602 1.951074 3.102252
2025-02-02 0.149605 0.274917 0.480257 0.833262 1.414265 2.318156 3.809999
2025-02-09 0.135937 0.262219 0.477925 0.863108 1.519860 2.574821 4.368940
2025-02-16 0.117808 0.238568 0.453561 0.852203 1.555963 2.722440 4.765005
2025-02-23 0.099950 0.212395 0.420935 0.822159 1.554917 2.806952 5.062039
2025-03-02 0.084073 0.187359 0.386757 0.784483 1.535177 2.856094 5.300658
2025-03-09 0.079090 0.183413 0.391665 0.819665 1.649749 3.146011 5.977188
2025-03-16 0.067476 0.164098 0.364804 0.792146 1.647879 3.234560 6.315543
2025-03-23 0.061692 0.156573 0.360799 0.809534 1.733877 3.490931 6.981080
2025-03-30 0.056345 0.149105 0.355802 0.824034 1.815217 3.744885 7.662133
2025-04-06 0.049954 0.138010 0.341331 0.816488 1.850623 3.913199 8.193070
2025-04-13 0.044714 0.128796 0.329716 0.813513 1.894726 4.101385 8.776410
2025-04-20 0.042253 0.126275 0.333197 0.844663 2.014419 4.449962 9.703599
2025-04-27 0.043307 0.133291 0.360281 0.933123 2.267375 5.089484 11.263657
2025-05-04 0.041043 0.130811 0.363777 0.966257 2.399936 5.488724 12.358838
2025-05-11 0.036699 0.121652 0.349253 0.954152 2.428294 5.669758 13.012214
2025-05-18 0.031906 0.110246 0.327271 0.920795 2.403596 5.733982 13.421788
2025-05-25 0.027374 0.098705 0.303195 0.878951 2.354031 5.738768 13.702089